Archive for forex euro

USD Index – Daily Forex Chart USD 10th September 2009

Thursday, September 10th, 2009
USD Index - Daily Chart Dollar Index 10th September 2009

USD Index - Daily Chart Dollar Index 10th September 2009

A defining day yesterday on the daily chart, as the USD Index finally broke below the 77.50 very platform outlined in previous posts, and closed the trading session with a wide spread down bar with a very small wick to the bottom of the candle. The USD index is now extremely bearish, with all three moving averages pointing sharply lower, and with only minor support between the current level and the next floor at 71, a deep move lower now seems likely for the US dollar, with the euro vs dollar already a major beneficiary of this sustained and continued dollar weakness. The weekly chart for the USD index paints a similar picture with the only question now being whether the support in the 71-72 price region will actually prevent a collapse in the US dollar. In the short term there is little but ‘fresh air’ on the daily chart, and over the next few days we are likely to see increasing momentum in the downwards move, as equity markets continue to draw investors into the market as their appetite for risk remains undiminished, and until this sentiment changes then the USD will continue to fall. This bearish picture has also been given impetus for the Chinese who are now offloading their US dollars in favour of gold, which triggered the recent breakout in gold prices of the last few days.

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USD Index – Forex Analysis 24 August 2009

Monday, August 24th, 2009
USD Index - Daily Chart For US Dollar 23rd August 2009

USD Index - Daily Chart For US Dollar 23rd August 2009

The USD index ended the forex trading week with a mixture of good and bad news for the US dollar, which was represented from a technical forex analysis perspective with a wide spread down bar, but one with a deep lower wick. The negative side of Friday’s trading session for the USD index was of course the fact that we have now broken below all three moving averages once again, suggesting an imminent move lower for the US dollar once again. However, the positive side to Friday’s trading was the depth of the lower wick, which suggests that there was a degree of dollar buying in the market, no doubt triggered by the fall earlier in the trading session. Overall, the technical picture looks very weak for the dollar, and should we see a break below the 77.50 price handle, then this could signal a much deeper move, initially to re-test the interim support at the 76 price point, and should this fail, then the 72 price handle becomes a distinct possibility. At present there is nothing on the daily or weekly chart for the USD index, to suggest that this long slow decline is likely to change in the short term, with the weekly chart looking very bearish following a three candle pattern of an up bar, doji, and down bar, with all three moving averages weighing down once again. With extremely strong resistance now in place at the 79 to 81 price range, for any strong reversal we will need to see a break and hold above this technical level for any move higher to be sustained.